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Scheduled
Sunday, March 8
05:00 PM
GASTWin ProbabilityCHSO
47%
53%
CI: 39–55% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CHSOFavors GAST →
away ba14g−17.3%
home k pct−13.5%
away elo−11.6%
home woba−8.5%
away k pct−7.6%
away bb pct+7.4%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+7.3%
away k pct14g−5.2%
Game Conditions
🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind W
💧
88%
Humidity
🌧
30%
Precip Chance
GSU Baseball Complex
Decatur, Georgia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.0411.175
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.5721.700
14-Day Win Rate0.4440.667
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 3/8/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CHSO6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
GAST6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.30 / 6.03
Charleston Southern Buccaneers — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
7-3|9.1 R/G|5.5 RA/G
Georgia State Panthers — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
5-5|5.9 R/G|6.9 RA/G