Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
3:00 PM
JMU·Away
32%
Win Prob
Home·ULM
68%
Model CI: 60–76% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors JMUFavors ULM →
away ba14g−6.5%
away elo+6.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.0%
home k pct14g+3.2%
home woba+1.8%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.7%
Temperature+1.7%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.6%
Game Conditions
🌡
74°F
Temperature
🧭
2 mph
Wind S
💧
80%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Lou St. Amant Field
Monroe, Louisiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1641.055
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4881.568
14-Day Win Rate0.4290.125
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
JMU5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
ULM6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.52 / 6.75
James Madison Dukes — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
2-8|5.4 R/G|9.5 RA/G
UL Monroe Warhawks — Recent Form
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
5-5|5.5 R/G|6.8 RA/G