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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
08:00 PM
ULWin ProbabilityMCN
80%
20%
CI: 72–88% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 02:00 PM
Moneyline
MCN+173
UL-232
Run Line
—
O/U
—
Model vs Market
UL
Model80%
Market66%
Edge+14.3 pts
MCN
Model20%
Market34%
Edge-14.3 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors MCNFavors UL →
away ba14g−5.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.6%
home bb pct−3.6%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.1%
home ba14g+1.9%
away k pct−1.8%
away woba+1.7%
home k pct−1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
77°F
Temperature
🧭
16 mph
Wind S
💧
77%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
M.L. "Tigue" Moore Field at Russo Park
Lafayette, Louisiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2570.924
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2421.448
14-Day Win Rate0.7780.500
Rest Days115
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
MCN5.1 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 7p90: 8
UL7.2 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.07 / 7.22
McNeese Cowboys — Recent Form
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
3-7|4.6 R/G|7.5 RA/G
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns — Recent Form
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
8-2|5.5 R/G|4.4 RA/G