Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
7:30 PM
UTSA·Away
56%
Win Prob
Home·TULN
44%
Model CI: 36–52% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
UTSA-212
TULN+158
Run Line
TULN+2
(-129)
O/U
12
Model: 13.2
Model vs Market
TULN
Model44%
Market36%
Edge+7.9 pts
UTSA
Model56%
Market64%
Edge-7.9 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UTSAFavors TULN →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−9.8%
away ba14g−7.5%
home bb pct14g+3.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.5%
away k pct+1.7%
away elo+1.1%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+0.9%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA−0.8%
Game Conditions
🌡
75°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind SE
💧
90%
Humidity
🌧
15%
Precip Chance
Green Field at Turchin Stadium
New Orleans, Louisiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3331.475
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3541.250
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.571
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UTSA6.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
TULN6.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.57 / 6.47
UTSA Roadrunners — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
7-3|7.8 R/G|4.3 RA/G
Tulane Green Wave — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
4-6|6.0 R/G|6.3 RA/G