Scheduled
Wednesday, March 18
7:00 PM
LAM·Away
43%
Win Prob
Home·SHSU
57%
Model CI: 49–65% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors LAMFavors SHSU →
away ba14g−25.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+8.3%
home ba14g+2.8%
away woba+2.4%
home elo+2.3%
home k pct−1.8%
away k pct14g−1.4%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
65°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind SW
💧
50%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Don Sanders Stadium
Huntsville, Texas
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2321.194
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3821.539
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.333
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 3/18/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
LAM6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
SHSU7.6 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.31 / 7.57
Lamar Cardinals — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
2-8|4.1 R/G|9.1 RA/G
Sam Houston Bearkats — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
5-5|6.1 R/G|5.0 RA/G