Scheduled
Friday, April 24
7:00 PM
NMSU·Away
17%
Win Prob
Home·JVST
83%
Model CI: 75–91% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NMSUFavors JVST →
away elo+3.7%
away bb pct+3.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+2.9%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.3%
away ba14g−2.2%
home k pct−2.1%
Temperature−1.9%
home elo−1.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
79°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind SW
💧
37%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Rudy Abbott Field at Jim Case Stadium
Jacksonville, Alabama
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2781.266
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2321.701
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.375
Rest Days32
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NMSU6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
JVST8.3 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.20 / 8.35
New Mexico State Aggies — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
4-6|6.3 R/G|7.2 RA/G
Jacksonville State Gamecocks — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
8-2|7.8 R/G|4.0 RA/G