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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
08:00 PM
NCATWin ProbabilityUNCG
53%
47%
CI: 45–61% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UNCGFavors NCAT →
away elo−9.1%
away ba14g−6.9%
home k pct−4.2%
away k pct−4.0%
home woba−4.0%
Home Offense (runs/game)+3.6%
home ba14g+3.1%
home bb pct−2.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
80°F
Temperature
🧭
16 mph
Wind SW
💧
49%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
World War Memorial Stadium
Greensboro, North Carolina
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.8171.003
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.8171.549
14-Day Win Rate0.1430.200
Rest Days31
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UNCG6.0 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
NCAT5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.00 / 5.46
UNC Greensboro Spartans — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
2-8|4.8 R/G|9.0 RA/G
North Carolina A&T Aggies — Recent Form
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
2-8|4.1 R/G|8.0 RA/G