Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
2:00 PM
MOST·Away
50%
Win Prob
Home·LT
50%
Model CI: 42–58% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 9 bookmakers · Updated 1:03 PM
Moneyline
MOST-190
LT+145
Run Line
LT+1.5
(-35)
O/U
13
Model: 12.8
Model vs Market
LT
Model50%
Market38%
Edge+11.3 pts
MOST
Model50%
Market62%
Edge-11.3 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors MOSTFavors LT →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+11.4%
home bb pct14g+5.5%
away bb pct+4.3%
away woba+3.4%
away ba14g−2.4%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.9%
home elo+1.8%
home k pct−0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
77°F
Temperature
🧭
7 mph
Wind SE
💧
71%
Humidity
🌧
29%
Precip Chance
J.C. Love Field at Pat Patterson Park
Ruston, Louisiana
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1701.465
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1611.457
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.429
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
MOST6.0 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
LT6.8 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.93 / 6.75
Missouri State Bears — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
5-5|7.9 R/G|7.5 RA/G
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
8-2|6.3 R/G|3.2 RA/G