Scheduled
Friday, April 24
6:00 PM
DEL·Away
16%
Win Prob
Home·LIB
84%
Model CI: 76–92% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors DELFavors LIB →
away elo+4.5%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−4.0%
away bb pct+2.7%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+2.7%
home k pct−1.9%
away ba14g−1.5%
home k pct14g+1.3%
home elo−1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
82°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind W
💧
26%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Worthington Field at Liberty Baseball Stadium
Lynchburg, Virginia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2301.194
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1671.691
14-Day Win Rate0.6670.250
Rest Days22
Snapshot taken: 4/24/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
DEL5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
LIB8.1 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.75 / 8.06
Delaware Blue Hens — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
2-8|6.8 R/G|9.0 RA/G
Liberty Flames — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
7-3|9.2 R/G|6.0 RA/G