Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
1:00 PM
DEL·Away
15%
Win Prob
Home·LIB
85%
Model CI: 77–93% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors DELFavors LIB →
Temperature−10.5%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.5%
away ba14g−5.1%
away elo+3.3%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.7%
away bb pct+2.0%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.0%
away k pct14g−1.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
79°F
Temperature
🧭
3 mph
Wind E
💧
41%
Humidity
🌧
1%
Precip Chance
Worthington Field at Liberty Baseball Stadium
Lynchburg, Virginia
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2271.192
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1651.679
14-Day Win Rate0.6670.375
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
DEL5.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
LIB7.4 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.37 / 7.40
Delaware Blue Hens — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
3-7|6.4 R/G|7.9 RA/G
Liberty Flames — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
6-4|8.5 R/G|6.1 RA/G