Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
1:00 PM
UNA·Away
52%
Win Prob
Home·EKU
48%
Model CI: 40–56% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UNAFavors EKU →
away ba14g−6.4%
away bb pct−2.1%
Temperature+1.8%
home bb pct14g+1.8%
Away Offense (runs/game)+1.7%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.0%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+0.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)−0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
70°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind N
💧
61%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Turkey Hughes Field at Earle Combs Stadium
Richmond, Kentucky
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.9681.164
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.7841.610
14-Day Win Rate0.1250.750
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UNA7.5 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
EKU6.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 7.42 / 6.64
North Alabama Lions — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
7-3|9.3 R/G|5.6 RA/G
Eastern Kentucky Colonels — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
1-9|5.3 R/G|9.2 RA/G