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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
10:30 PM
STETWin ProbabilityPV
83%
17%
CI: 75–91% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 3 bookmakers · Updated 08:00 PM
Moneyline
PV+1153
STET-5033
Run Line
STET-5
(-240)
O/U
13.5
Model: 12.2
Model vs Market
STET
Model83%
Market92%
Edge-9.6 pts
PV
Model17%
Market8%
Edge+9.6 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors PVFavors STET →
Home Offense (runs/game)+4.9%
home elo+3.8%
away elo+3.2%
away ba14g−2.8%
home woba−2.4%
away k pct−2.2%
home bb pct−1.6%
home ba14g+1.5%
Game Conditions
🌡
84°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind S
💧
50%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Melching Field at Conrad Park
DeLand, Florida
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.0390.543
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1972.143
14-Day Win Rate0.4440
Rest Days24
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
PV3.9 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 4p75: 5p90: 7
STET8.3 runs
p10: 5p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 3.89 / 8.29
Prairie View A&M Panthers — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
0-10|1.9 R/G|11.2 RA/G
Stetson Hatters — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
5-5|5.7 R/G|6.4 RA/G