Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
4:00 PM
NFLA·Away
43%
Win Prob
Home·FGCU
57%
Model CI: 49–65% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors NFLAFavors FGCU →
away ba14g−6.9%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−6.5%
away bb pct+6.5%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.7%
away elo+3.6%
home elo+2.2%
home woba+1.8%
away woba+1.7%
Game Conditions
🌡
85°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind SE
💧
48%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Swanson Stadium
Fort Myers, Florida
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.5601.107
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3051.271
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.625
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
NFLA6.2 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
FGCU7.9 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 8p75: 10p90: 12
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.17 / 7.86
North Florida Ospreys — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
7-3|4.9 R/G|3.7 RA/G
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
5-5|5.1 R/G|4.5 RA/G