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Scheduled
Monday, February 23
01:05 AM
CPWin ProbabilityWSU
74%
26%
CI: 66–82% home
Model v1.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors WSUFavors CP →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−7.2%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+5.5%
Away Offense (runs/game)−5.0%
Humidity−3.6%
home elo−2.9%
away elo−2.3%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.1%
Away 14-Day Win Rate+0.3%
Game Conditions
🌡
67°F
Temperature
🧭
2 mph
Wind NW
💧
52%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Baggett Stadium
San Luis Obispo, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.9401.166
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2001.271
14-Day Win Rate0.6670.333
Rest Days99
Snapshot taken: 2/23/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
WSU5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
CP5.6 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.79 / 5.54
Washington State Cougars — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
3-7|3.3 R/G|7.5 RA/G
Cal Poly Mustangs — Recent Form
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
6-4|5.6 R/G|5.4 RA/G