Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
4:00 PM
CSUN·Away
36%
Win Prob
Home·CP
64%
Model CI: 56–72% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 4 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
CSUN+173
CP-231
Run Line
CP-1.5
(-139)
O/U
14
Model: 11.9
Model vs Market
CP
Model64%
Market66%
Edge-1.1 pts
CSUN
Model36%
Market34%
Edge+1.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CSUNFavors CP →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+10.9%
home bb pct14g+5.6%
away elo+3.5%
away k pct14g−3.1%
away ba14g−2.8%
Wind Speed+1.5%
home elo+1.2%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
59°F
Temperature
🧭
6 mph
Wind W
💧
66%
Humidity
🌧
5%
Precip Chance
Baggett Stadium
San Luis Obispo, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.0971.239
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.1861.496
14-Day Win Rate0.6250.429
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CSUN5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
CP6.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.40 / 6.40
Cal State Northridge Matadors — Recent Form
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
4-6|6.1 R/G|5.8 RA/G
Cal Poly Mustangs — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
5-5|6.5 R/G|6.0 RA/G