Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
4:05 PM
CSUF·Away
26%
Win Prob
Home·UCSB
74%
Model CI: 66–82% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
CSUF+201
UCSB-276
Run Line
UCSB-2.5
(+26)
O/U
12
Model: 12.0
Model vs Market
UCSB
Model74%
Market69%
Edge+5.4 pts
CSUF
Model26%
Market31%
Edge-5.4 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors CSUFFavors UCSB →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+7.7%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−3.4%
home bb pct14g+3.3%
Away Offense (runs/game)−2.6%
away ba14g−2.2%
home bb pct−1.9%
away elo−1.1%
away woba−1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
63°F
Temperature
🧭
14 mph
Wind W
💧
61%
Humidity
🌧
0%
Precip Chance
Caesar Uyesaka Stadium
Santa Barbara, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.3191.060
Pitching (ERA proxy)0.8851.189
14-Day Win Rate0.7500.500
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
CSUF4.9 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
UCSB7.1 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.87 / 7.10
Cal State Fullerton Titans — Recent Form
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
5-5|5.1 R/G|4.7 RA/G
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos — Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
7-3|6.5 R/G|4.6 RA/G