Scheduled
Saturday, April 25
5:00 PM
UCI·Away
48%
Win Prob
Home·UCSD
52%
Model CI: 44–60% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 8 bookmakers · Updated 4:04 PM
Moneyline
UCI-130
UCSD+49
Run Line
UCSD+1.5
(-162)
O/U
13
Model: 12.1
Model vs Market
UCSD
Model52%
Market47%
Edge+5.1 pts
UCI
Model48%
Market53%
Edge-5.1 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UCIFavors UCSD →
away bb pct+7.2%
away ba14g−6.7%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−5.9%
away elo+4.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.8%
home bb pct14g+1.5%
Home Offense (runs/game)+1.5%
Home 14-Day Win Rate+1.4%
Game Conditions
🌡
64°F
Temperature
🧭
9 mph
Wind W
💧
64%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Triton Ballpark
San Diego, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2091.449
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3831.144
14-Day Win Rate0.2500.286
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/25/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UCI6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
UCSD5.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.25 / 5.69
UC Irvine Anteaters — Recent Form
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
5-5|6.1 R/G|5.8 RA/G
UC San Diego Tritons — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
4-6|6.2 R/G|7.2 RA/G