Scheduled
Sunday, April 26
4:00 PM
UCI·Away
42%
Win Prob
Home·UCSD
58%
Model CI: 50–66% home
Model v2.1.0
Betting Line
Consensus of 7 bookmakers · Updated 4:01 PM
Moneyline
UCI-119
UCSD-111
Run Line
UCSD+1.5
(-160)
O/U
15
Model: 12.2
Model vs Market
UCSD
Model58%
Market49%
Edge+9 pts
UCI
Model42%
Market51%
Edge-9 pts
Positive edge = model likes that team vs the market
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors UCIFavors UCSD →
home bb pct14g+5.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+3.5%
away ba14g−2.6%
away k pct14g−2.3%
Home Starting Pitcher ERA+1.6%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−1.1%
home woba+1.1%
home elo+0.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
66°F
Temperature
🧭
12 mph
Wind NW
💧
57%
Humidity
🌧
4%
Precip Chance
Triton Ballpark
San Diego, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.2171.447
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.3771.148
14-Day Win Rate0.3750.286
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 4/26/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
UCI6.3 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
UCSD5.9 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.24 / 5.80
UC Irvine Anteaters — Recent Form
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
4-6|5.9 R/G|6.5 RA/G
UC San Diego Tritons — Recent Form
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
4-6|6.3 R/G|7.7 RA/G