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HOFWin ProbabilityRID
56%
44%
CI: 48–64% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors RIDFavors HOF →
home woba−7.0%
away ba14g−6.9%
home k pct−4.8%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+4.5%
away k pct−4.3%
home elo+4.1%
home ba14g+3.1%
home bb pct−2.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
51°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind S
💧
98%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
University Field (Hofstra)
West Hempstead, New York
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.9241.039
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.8941.424
14-Day Win Rate0.1670
Rest Days310
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
RID6.1 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
HOF5.5 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 9
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.03 / 5.52
Rider Broncs — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
2-8|5.4 R/G|8.5 RA/G
Hofstra Pride — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
1-9|4.2 R/G|7.4 RA/G