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Towson TigersTowson TigersAwaySP · 2.10 ERA
Scheduled

Wednesday, March 11

06:30 PM

GWWin ProbabilityTOWU
64%
36%

CI: 5672% home

Model v2.1.0

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors TOWUFavors GW
home elo+9.9%
home woba5.2%
Away Offense (runs/game)5.2%
away ba14g4.1%
home bb pct3.2%
away elo+3.1%
home ba14g+2.6%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.6%

Game Conditions

🌡
80°F
Temperature
🧭
13 mph
Wind S
💧
41%
Humidity
🌧
6%
Precip Chance

Tucker Field at Barcroft Park

Arlington, Virginia

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1100.939
Pitching (ERA proxy)2.4602.097
14-Day Win Rate0.5000.167
Rest Days73

Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

TOWU6.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 7p75: 8p90: 10
GW7.7 runs
p10: 4p25: 6med: 8p75: 9p90: 11
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.69 / 7.63

Towson Tigers — Recent Form

W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
4-6|7.7 R/G|6.8 RA/G

George Washington Revolutionaries — Recent Form

L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
2-8|6.7 R/G|12.1 RA/G