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Scheduled
Sunday, March 8
06:00 PM
JVSTWin ProbabilityVALP
78%
22%
CI: 70–86% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors VALPFavors JVST →
away ba14g−12.6%
Away Offense (runs/game)−10.7%
home k pct−7.6%
home woba−4.4%
away k pct−2.6%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−2.5%
home elo−2.3%
Precipitation Chance−1.9%
Game Conditions
🌡
64°F
Temperature
🧭
4 mph
Wind W
💧
91%
Humidity
🌧
32%
Precip Chance
Rudy Abbott Field at Jim Case Stadium
Jacksonville, Alabama
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1190.860
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4421.925
14-Day Win Rate0.8750
Rest Days11
Snapshot taken: 3/8/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
VALP4.9 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
JVST7.0 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.82 / 6.94
Valparaiso Beacons — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
1-9|4.1 R/G|10.7 RA/G
Jacksonville State Gamecocks — Recent Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
9-1|9.8 R/G|3.5 RA/G

