← Back to Today
Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso BeaconsAwaySP · 1.93 ERA
Scheduled

Sunday, March 8

06:00 PM

JVSTWin ProbabilityVALP
78%
22%

CI: 7086% home

Model v2.1.0

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors VALPFavors JVST
away ba14g12.6%
Away Offense (runs/game)10.7%
home k pct7.6%
home woba4.4%
away k pct2.6%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)2.5%
home elo2.3%
Precipitation Chance1.9%

Game Conditions

🌡
64°F
Temperature
🧭
4 mph
Wind W
💧
91%
Humidity
🌧
32%
Precip Chance

Rudy Abbott Field at Jim Case Stadium

Jacksonville, Alabama

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1190.860
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4421.925
14-Day Win Rate0.8750
Rest Days11

Snapshot taken: 3/8/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

VALP4.9 runs
p10: 2p25: 3med: 5p75: 6p90: 8
JVST7.0 runs
p10: 4p25: 5med: 7p75: 9p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 4.82 / 6.94

Valparaiso Beacons — Recent Form

L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
1-9|4.1 R/G|10.7 RA/G

Jacksonville State Gamecocks — Recent Form

W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
9-1|9.8 R/G|3.5 RA/G