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Scheduled
Wednesday, March 11
07:00 PM
FDUWin ProbabilityMONM
54%
46%
CI: 46–62% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors MONMFavors FDU →
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+8.8%
away ba14g−6.9%
home woba−6.3%
away k pct−4.3%
home elo+4.0%
home k pct−3.4%
home ba14g+3.0%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.0%
Game Conditions
🌡
69°F
Temperature
🧭
8 mph
Wind S
💧
61%
Humidity
🌧
2%
Precip Chance
Naimoli Family Baseball Complex
Teaneck, New Jersey
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)0.7850.982
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.5541.533
14-Day Win Rate00.667
Rest Days103
Snapshot taken: 3/11/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
MONM5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
FDU5.3 runs
p10: 2p25: 4med: 5p75: 7p90: 8
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.68 / 5.18
Monmouth Hawks — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
4-6|7.8 R/G|7.4 RA/G
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights — Recent Form
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
1-9|4.1 R/G|8.1 RA/G