Binghamton BearcatsBinghamton BearcatsAwaySP · 1.67 ERA
Scheduled

Sunday, March 29

3:00 PM

Fairfield StagsFairfield StagsHomeSP · 1.43 ERA
BING·Away
31%
Win Prob
Home·FAIR
69%

Model CI: 6177% home

Model v2.1.0

Top Prediction Drivers

← Favors BINGFavors FAIR
away ba14g12.9%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)4.4%
home k pct3.9%
home elo+3.6%
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)3.2%
away elo+3.0%
home bb pct14g+1.3%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA+1.1%

Game Conditions

Weather data unavailable (no venue coordinates)

Alumni Baseball Diamond

Fairfield, Connecticut

Park factor: 1.00(estimated)

Pre-Game Feature Snapshot

FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1831.136
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.4331.673
14-Day Win Rate00.500
Rest Days1136

Snapshot taken: 3/29/2026

Score Projection

Monte Carlo simulation

BING5.8 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 7p90: 9
FAIR6.7 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 5.77 / 6.65

Binghamton Bearcats — Recent Form

L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
2-8|4.2 R/G|10.1 RA/G

Fairfield Stags — Recent Form

L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
2-8|2.5 R/G|6.1 RA/G