Scheduled
Tuesday, April 21
9:00 PM
STAN·Away
61%
Win Prob
Home·SCU
39%
Model CI: 31–47% home
Model v2.1.0
Top Prediction Drivers
← Favors STANFavors SCU →
Home Pitching (ERA proxy)−7.4%
away ba14g−6.4%
home bb pct14g+3.6%
Home Offense (runs/game)+2.0%
Away Pitching (ERA proxy)+1.9%
away bb pct14g+1.3%
away bb pct+1.2%
Away Starting Pitcher ERA−1.1%
Game Conditions
🌡
60°F
Temperature
🧭
3 mph
Wind S
💧
74%
Humidity
🌧
52%
Precip Chance
Stephen Schott Stadium
Santa Clara, California
Park factor: 1.00(estimated)
Pre-Game Feature Snapshot
FeatureHomeAway
Offense (wOBA proxy)1.1681.393
Pitching (ERA proxy)1.2971.253
14-Day Win Rate10.429
Rest Days62
Snapshot taken: 4/21/2026
Score Projection
Monte Carlo simulation
STAN6.0 runs
p10: 3p25: 4med: 6p75: 8p90: 9
SCU6.4 runs
p10: 3p25: 5med: 6p75: 8p90: 10
p10–p90 p25–p75 median mean10,000 simulations · λ 6.00 / 6.29
Stanford Cardinal — Recent Form
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
4-6|5.2 R/G|5.9 RA/G
Santa Clara Broncos — Recent Form
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
2-8|4.0 R/G|7.7 RA/G